Let me tell you something – if you’ve been waiting to jump into Baldur’s Gate 3, you’re not alone. I’ve been watching this game’s pricing like a hawk since it launched, and I’ve got some insider knowledge to share about what we can expect this Black Friday season.
My Personal Journey with BG3 Pricing
I remember when Baldur’s Gate 3 first dropped back in August 2023. Like many of you, I was blown away by the critical acclaim and the fact that it swept nearly every Game of the Year award. But at $59.99, I’ll admit I hesitated. Fast forward to today, and I’ve tracked every single price drop, sale, and discount this game has ever had. Why? Because I believe in getting the best bang for my buck, and I want to help you do the same.
The Pricing Pattern I’ve Observed
After months of meticulous research (okay, maybe I’m a bit obsessed), I’ve noticed some clear patterns in how Larian Studios handles Baldur’s Gate 3 discounts. Here’s what I’ve found:
| Sale Period | Discount | Price | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Sale 2023 | 10% off | $53.00 | First major discount |
| Spring Sale 2024 | 10% off | $53.00 | Same as winter |
| Summer Sale 2024 | 20% off | $47.99 | Deeper discount |
| Autumn Sale 2024 | 20% off | $47.99 | Black Friday alignment |
| Winter Sale 2024 | 20% off | $47.99 | Consistent pricing |
| September 2025 | 25% off | $44.99 | New lowest price! |
What’s really interesting is that Larian has gradually increased their discount threshold over time. When I first started tracking, 10% off was the standard. Now, 20% off has become the new normal, with occasional 25% drops being the deepest discounts we’ve seen.
What This Means for Black Friday 2026?
Here’s where it gets tricky, and I need to be honest with you. Steam doesn’t actually run an official “Black Friday sale.” Instead, they have seasonal sales that sometimes align with Black Friday. Last year (2024), we got lucky – the Steam Autumn Sale perfectly coincided with Black Friday, giving us that sweet 20% discount.
But this year? Things are different. The Steam Autumn Sale for 2025 actually started way back on September 19th – that’s right, two months before Black Friday! So if you’re hoping for a Black Friday-specific deal, you might be disappointed.
My Predictions for This Holiday Season
Based on everything I’ve seen, here’s what I’m telling my friends to expect:
The Realistic Scenario: We’ll probably see another 20% off deal during the Steam Winter Sale (December 18, 2025 – January 5, 2026). This has been the most consistent discount pattern, and the Winter Sale is historically when Steam offers its deepest cuts.
The Optimistic Scenario: If we’re really lucky, we might see another 25% off drop, bringing the price down to $44.99. This happened in September 2025, so it’s not out of the question for Larian to offer it again during the biggest shopping season of the year.
The Platform Differences: One thing I’ve noticed that many people overlook is that prices vary by platform:
- PC (Steam/GOG): $59.99 regular, $44.99 lowest (25% off)
- Xbox Series: $33.49 lowest (that’s a steal!)
- PlayStation 5: $52.49 lowest
If you’re a console gamer, you might actually find better deals on Xbox, which is something I wish I’d known earlier!
Why I Think the Winter Sale Is Your Best Bet?
I’ve been analyzing Steam sales patterns for years, and I can tell you that the Winter Sale is consistently the best time to buy games. Here’s why I’m so confident about this:
- Historical Data: The deepest discounts almost always happen during the Winter Sale
- Publisher Incentives: Developers want to end the year strong and boost their holiday numbers
- Competition: With so many games on sale, publishers need to offer competitive pricing
- Timing: It’s the last major sale before the new year, so everyone’s trying to clear inventory
My Personal Strategy
If you’re asking me what I’m doing, here’s my plan: I’m waiting for the Steam Winter Sale. I’ve got Baldur’s Gate 3 on my wishlist, and I’ve set up price alerts. I’m hoping for that 25% off deal, but I’ll be happy with 20% off if that’s what we get.
The way I see it, even at full price, Baldur’s Gate 3 is worth every penny. I’ve put hundreds of hours into this game, and I can honestly say it’s one of the best RPGs I’ve ever played. The story is incredible, the characters are memorable, and the gameplay is just so satisfying.
What About Third-Party Sites?
I’ve been checking other sites like Green Man Gaming, Fanatical, and Humble Bundle, and here’s what I’ve found: sometimes they offer slightly better deals than Steam itself. I’ve seen discounts that are 1-2% better than what Steam offers, and occasionally they throw in bonus content or bundle deals.
However, I need to caution you about key reselling sites. While they might offer tempting prices, there’s always a risk involved. I personally prefer to buy directly from Steam or authorized retailers to avoid any potential issues with my game library.
The Bottom Line
Look, I know it’s tempting to jump on the first Black Friday deal you see, but I’m telling you from experience: patience pays off. If you can wait until the Steam Winter Sale in December, you’re likely to get the best price of the year.
And honestly? Even if you end up paying full price, Baldur’s Gate 3 is worth it. I’ve recommended this game to so many friends, and every single one of them has thanked me later. It’s not just a game – it’s an experience that will stay with you long after you’ve finished the main story.
FAQ: Your Burning Questions Answered
Will Baldur’s Gate 3 be 50% off this Black Friday?
Honestly? I doubt it. The deepest discount we’ve ever seen is 25% off, and that just happened in September 2025. Publishers rarely drop prices by 50% on games that are still selling this well.
Should I buy now or wait until Black Friday?
If you’re asking me, I’d say wait. But not necessarily for Black Friday specifically. Wait for the Steam Winter Sale in December. That’s historically when we see the best deals.
Are the console versions cheaper than PC?
It depends on the platform. I’ve seen Xbox versions go as low as $33.49, which is incredible. PlayStation versions tend to be a bit more expensive, while PC versions are usually in the middle.
How often does Baldur’s Gate 3 go on sale?
From what I’ve observed, Baldur’s Gate 3 goes on sale every 2-3 months. The discounts are usually 20% off, with occasional 25% off deals during major sales.
Is it worth buying Baldur’s Gate 3 at full price?
Absolutely! I’ve played this game extensively, and I can tell you it’s worth every penny at full price. The amount of content, the quality of the storytelling, and the replayability make it a fantastic value.
My Final Thoughts
As someone who’s been tracking Baldur’s Gate 3 pricing since day one, I can tell you that this Black Friday season might not bring the massive discounts some people are hoping for. But that doesn’t mean you won’t get a good deal – you just might need to be patient and wait for the Steam Winter Sale.
Remember, the best deal isn’t always about the lowest price. It’s about getting the most value for your money, and in my opinion, Baldur’s Gate 3 delivers incredible value regardless of when you buy it.
So set up those price alerts, add it to your wishlist, and get ready for an amazing adventure in Faerûn. Whether you buy it during Black Friday, the Winter Sale, or at full price, I promise you won’t regret diving into one of the best RPGs ever made.
Want more gaming deals and recommendations? Check out our gaming section for the latest updates on your favorite games, including our recent Helldivers 2 patch coverage and other gaming guides.
P.S. Don’t forget to bookmark this page and come back in December when the Steam Winter Sale hits. I’ll be updating this guide with the latest deals and discounts as they happen!